Pundit Prediction Tracker

Each week football pundits Mark Lawrenson and Paul Merson makes their predictions for the next round of EPL games. You can find a summary of Lawro's predictions for the 2016/17 season here, and Merson's here.

On this page I ask the question: if you had bet £1 on each of their predictions - betting on a home win, away win or draw (not the exact scoreline) - how much of a profit/loss would you have made since the beginning of the 2016/17 season?

This is obviously just a bit of fun. However, it also provides an interesting way of comparing their forecasting skill. The reward for making a correct 'easy' prediction (such as Man City beating Sunderland at home) is substantially less than the reward for a 'difficult' prediction (Sunderland defeating Man City at the Etihad, for example). Hence, their performance is dependent on their ability to correctly identify the upsets.

The results are shown below for the complete 2016/17 season. If you'd like a more detailed analysis of Lawro's predictions covering the last five seasons, check out my blog post on this topic here.

Final 2016/17 P&L tracker


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