Pundit Prediction Tracker 2017/18

Each week football pundits Mark Lawrenson and Paul Merson makes their predictions for the next round of EPL games. You can find Lawro's predictions on the BBC Sport webpage, and Merson's on the Sky Sports page.

On this page I ask the question: if you had bet £1 on each of their predictions - betting on a home win, away win or draw (not the exact scoreline) - how much of a profit/loss would you have made since the beginning of the 2017/18 season?

This is obviously just a bit of fun. However, it also provides an interesting way of comparing their forecasting skill. The reward for making a correct 'easy' prediction (such as Man City beating Brighton at home) is substantially less than the reward for a 'difficult' prediction (Brighton defeating Man City at the Etihad, for example). Hence, their performance is dependent on their ability to correctly identify the upsets.

The latest predictions and results are shown below for the 2017/18 season; results for the 2016/17 season can be found here. If you'd like a more detailed analysis of their predictions -- and why they generate a profit -- take a look at my post here. There is also a recent feature on this on the Sky Sports website here.

Post-gameweek 30 Results


  1. I have included your prediction for a comparison with some other predictions on my site: https://goo.gl/DE5ueT


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